The NBWA Beer Purchasers’ Index (BPI) is an informal monthly statistical release giving distributors a timely and reliable indicator of industry beer purchasing activity.
Similar to the widely recognized Purchasing Managers’ Index, the BPI is a net rising index and a leading indicator of industry performance based on surveyed responses from participating beer purchasers.
The total beer index retreated from the big October 2019 reading of 70. The November index fell to 47 for November 2019 from the November 2018 reading of 48. Compared to all November readings over the past five years, the total beer index sits in-line with the past three years. However, the “At-Risk Inventory” index for total beer index dropped to 47 and continues to remain below the 50-mark in the fourth quarter.
Looking across the segments:
The flavored malt beverage/progressive adult beverage (FMB/PAB) segment retreated from prior month high marks in 2019. For November, the index was still relatively high at 69, but only a few points higher relative to the November 2018 reading of 63.
The craft index at 53 for November 2019 came in lower than the November 2018 reading of 57. The Craft segment has bounced around the critical 50 mark for most of 2019 and remains in expansion territory for beer purchasers.
The index for imports also took another big step back from 2018 highs but remains in expansion territory with a November index reading of 53 compared to the November 2018 reading of 69.
Premium lights posted another slight increase over last year's readings. The November 2019 reading of 37 was slightly higher compared to 31 in 2018. Premium regulars also ticked up slightly to 29, over this time last year at 25. Below premiums also saw an increase to 40 from 34. All three domestic segments continue to struggle with below 50 index readings.
The cider segment continues to show the most variability of any segment in the BPI, falling to 32 from 58. Cider orders continue to contract from peak readings in late 2018. This series will continue to play out as regional cider brands compete aggressively against larger national cider brands.
The December 2019 BPI survey will run from December 9th through December 19th. Results will be released to participating distributors on December 20th.
NOTE: NBWA member distributors, if you would like to see early results, please register and participate in this month’s survey by filling out the form below.
Beer Distributors: Please sign up to participate and receive the first and only advance notice of expectations for increasing or decreasing sales. Complete the form below using your company’s primary beer purchaser’s contact information. For additional information, please email email@example.com.
Sign Up for the Daily Brew
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Phone: 800-300-6417 Fax: 703.683.8965 Email: firstname.lastname@example.org